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1.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38632077

OBJECTIVES: Ascending aortic aneurysms pose a different risk to each patient. We aim to provide personalized risk stratification for such patients based on sex, age, body surface area, and aneurysm location (root vs ascending). METHODS: Root and ascending diameters, and adverse aortic events (dissection, rupture, death) of ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm patients were analyzed. Aortic diameter was placed in context vis-a-vis the normal distribution in the general population with similar sex, age, and BSA, by conversion to z scores. These were correlated of major adverse aortic events, producing risk curves with 'hinge points' of steep risk, constructed separately for the aortic root and mid ascending aorta. RESULTS: 1162 patients were included. Risk curves unveiled generalized thresholds of z = 4 for the aortic root, and z = 5 for the mid ascending aorta. These correspond to individualized thresholds of less than the standard criterion of 5.5 cm in the vast majority of patients. Indicative results include a 75 year-old typical male with 2.1 m2 body surface area, who was found to be at increased risk of adverse events if root diameter exceeds 5.15 cm, or mid ascending exceeds 5.27 cm. An automated calculator is presented which identifies patients at high risk of adverse events based on sex, age, height, weight, and root and ascending size. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis exploits a large sample of aneurysmal patients, demographic features of the general population, pre-dissection diameter, discrimination of root and supracoronary segments, and statistical tools to extract thresholds of increased risk tailor-made for each patient.

2.
Yale J Biol Med ; 96(3): 427-440, 2023 09.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37780996

This issue of the Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine (YJBM) focuses on Big Data and precision analytics in medical research. At the Aortic Institute at Yale New Haven Hospital, the vast majority of our investigations have emanated from our large, prospective clinical database of patients with thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA), supplemented by ultra-large genetic sequencing files. Among the fundamental clinical and scientific discoveries enabled by application of advanced statistical and artificial intelligence techniques on these clinical and genetic databases are the following: From analysis of Traditional "Big Data" (Large data sets). 1. Ascending aortic aneurysms should be resected at 5 cm to prevent dissection and rupture. 2. Indexing aortic size to height improves aortic risk prognostication. 3. Aortic root dilatation is more malignant than mid-ascending aortic dilatation. 4. Ascending aortic aneurysm patients with bicuspid aortic valves do not carry the poorer prognosis previously postulated. 5. The descending and thoracoabdominal aorta are capable of rupture without dissection. 6. Female patients with TAA do more poorly than male patients. 7. Ascending aortic length is even better than aortic diameter at predicting dissection. 8. A "silver lining" of TAA disease is the profound, lifelong protection from atherosclerosis. From Modern "Big Data" Machine Learning/Artificial Intelligence analysis: 1. Machine learning models for TAA: outperforming traditional anatomic criteria. 2. Genetic testing for TAA and dissection and discovery of novel causative genes. 3. Phenotypic genetic characterization by Artificial Intelligence. 4. Panel of RNAs "detects" TAA. Such findings, based on (a) long-standing application of advanced conventional statistical analysis to large clinical data sets, and (b) recent application of advanced machine learning/artificial intelligence to large genetic data sets at the Yale Aortic Institute have advanced the diagnosis and medical and surgical treatment of TAA.


Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic , Aortic Dissection , Humans , Male , Female , Aortic Dissection/genetics , Artificial Intelligence , Prospective Studies , Aorta/pathology , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/genetics , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/diagnosis
3.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37088130

OBJECTIVES: Guidelines for surgical correction of patients with ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm (ATAA) with a bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) have oscillated over the years. In this study, we outline the natural history of the ascending aorta in patients with BAV and trileaflet aortic valve (TAV) ATAA followed over time, to ascertain if their behavior differs and to determine if a different threshold for intervention is required. METHODS: Aortic diameters and long-term complications (ie, adverse aortic events) of 2428 patients (554 BAV and 1874 TAV) with ATAA before operative repair were reviewed. Growth rates, yearly complication rates, event-free survival, and risk of complications as a function of aortic size were calculated. Long-term follow-up and precise cause of death granularity was achieved via a comprehensive 6-pronged approach. RESULTS: Aortic growth rate in patients with BAV vs TAV ATAA was 0.20 and 0.17 cm/year, respectively (P = .009), with the rate increasing with increasing aortic size. Yearly adverse aortic events rates increased with ATAA size and were lower for patients with BAV. The relative risk of adverse aortic events exhibited an exponential increase with aortic diameter. Patients with BAV had a lower all-cause and ascending aorta-specific adverse aortic events hazard. Age-adjusted 10-year event-free survival was significantly better for patients with BAV, and BAV emerged as a protective factor against type A dissection, rupture, and ascending aortic death. CONCLUSIONS: The threshold for surgical repair of ascending aneurysm with BAV should not differ from that of TAV. Prophylactic surgery should be considered at 5.0 cm for patients with TAV (and BAV) at expert centers.

4.
Eur Heart J ; 44(43): 4579-4588, 2023 11 14.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36994934

AIMS: This study aims to outline the 'true' natural history of ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm (ATAA) based on a cohort of patients not undergoing surgical intervention. METHODS AND RESULTS: The outcomes, risk factors, and growth rates of 964 unoperated ATAA patients were investigated, over a median follow-up of 7.9 (maximum of 34) years. The primary endpoint was adverse aortic events (AAE), including dissection, rupture, and aortic death. At aortic sizes of 3.5-3.9, 4.0-4.4, 4.5-4.9, 5.0-5.4, 5.5-5.9, and ≥6.0 cm, the average yearly risk of AAE was 0.2%, 0.2%, 0.3%, 1.4%, 2.0%, and 3.5%, respectively (P < 0.001), and the 10-year survival free from AAE was 97.8%, 98.2%, 97.3%, 84.6%, 80.4%, and 70.9%, respectively (P < 0.001). The risk of AAE was relatively flat until 5 cm of aortic size, at which it began to increase rapidly (P for non-linearity <0.001). The mean annual growth rate was estimated to be 0.10 ± 0.01 cm/year. Ascending thoracic aortic aneurysms grew in a very slow manner, and aortic growth over 0.2 cm/year was rarely seen. Multivariable Cox regression identified aortic size [hazard ratio (HR): 1.78, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.50-2.11, P < 0.001] and age (HR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.05, P = 0.015) as significant independent risk factors for AAE. Interestingly, hyperlipidemia (HR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.23-0.91, P = 0.025) was found to be a significant protective factor for AAE in univariable Cox regression. CONCLUSION: An aortic size of 5 cm, rather than 5.5 cm, may be a more appropriate intervention criterion for prophylactic ATAA repair. Aortic growth may not be an applicable indicator for intervention.


Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic , Aortic Aneurysm , Aortic Dissection , Aortic Rupture , Humans , Aortic Dissection/epidemiology , Aortic Dissection/surgery , Universities , Aortic Aneurysm/surgery , Aorta , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/epidemiology , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/surgery , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies , Aortic Rupture/surgery
5.
Genes (Basel) ; 14(2)2023 01 18.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36833179

BACKGROUND: KIF6 (kinesin family member 6), a protein coded by the KIF6 gene, serves an important intracellular function to transport organelles along microtubules. In a pilot study, we found that a common KIF6 Trp719Arg variant increased the propensity of thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAA) to suffer dissection (AD). The present study aims for a definite investigation of the predictive ability of KIF6 719Arg vis à vis AD. Confirmatory findings would enhance natural history prediction in TAA. METHODS: 1108 subjects (899 aneurysm and 209 dissection patients) had KIF6 719Arg variant status determined. RESULTS: The 719Arg variant in the KIF6 gene correlated strongly with occurrence of AD. Specifically, KIF6 719Arg positivity (homozygous or heterozygous) was substantially more common in dissectors (69.8%) than non-dissectors (58.5%) (p = 0.003). Odds ratios (OR) for suffering aortic dissection ranged from 1.77 to 1.94 for Arg carriers in various dissection categories. These high OR associations were noted for both ascending and descending aneurysms and for homozygous and heterozygous Arg variant patients. The rate of aortic dissection over time was significantly higher for carriers of the Arg allele (p = 0.004). Additionally, Arg allele carriers were more likely to reach the combined endpoint of dissection or death (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate the marked adverse impact of the 719Arg variant of the KIF6 gene on the likelihood that a TAA patient will suffer aortic dissection. Clinical assessment of the variant status of this molecularly important gene may provide a valuable "non-size" criterion to enhance surgical decision making above and beyond the currently used metric of aortic size (diameter).


Dissection, Thoracic Aorta , Kinesins , Humans , Heterozygote , Kinesins/genetics , Pilot Projects
7.
Postgrad Med ; 134(2): 125-142, 2022 Mar.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34981982

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to quantify patients' preferences for benefits and risks associated with treating degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) via open heart surgical repair versus a beating heart surgical approach. METHODS: A D-efficient main effects discrete choice experiment (DCE) survey with 10 choice tasks that involved trade-offs across six attributes varying between two and four levels each (procedure invasiveness, recovery intensity, risk of disabling stroke, risk of new onset atrial fibrillation, risk of symptom reappearance and risk of reintervention) was administered online to either clinically confirmed (n = 30) or self-reported DMR (n = 88) patients recruited from either cardiovascular clinics or online clinical patient databases. The error component logit (ECL) analysis combined both patient cohorts after performing a Swait-Louviere scale test. Patient trade-offs across attributes were estimated in relation to either an open-heart surgery (OHS) treatment profile or a beating heart approach. RESULTS: Patients demonstrated clear preferences across all attributes for the beating heart treatment. 76.0% (95% CI: 68.1,83.9) of patients would prefer a 'beating heart' intervention relative to the 'open heart' approach despite the higher likelihood of symptom recurrence and reintervention. In exchange for the combined net benefits associated with a 'beating heart' treatment, on average, participants were willing to accept a maximum acceptable risk (MAR) of 34.6 percentage points (95% CI: 23.8,45.4) for increased risk of symptom reappearance or 22.6 percentage points (95% CI: 14.7,30.4) increased risk of reintervention. CONCLUSION: This study of US adults with DMR provides quantitative measures of risk tolerance for tradeoffs related to repair by a beating heart approach relative to conventional open-heart surgery (standard of care). These results may inform DMR treatment choices from regulatory agencies, payers, clinicians, and patients considering a beating heart repair or treatments with similar attributes as potential new alternatives to conventional surgery.


Mitral Valve Insufficiency , Adult , Humans , Mitral Valve Insufficiency/surgery , Patient Preference , Surveys and Questionnaires
9.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 10(14): e020645, 2021 07 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34238012

Background Data from the International Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection indicate that the guideline criterion of 5.5 cm for ascending aortic intervention misses many dissections occurring at smaller dimensions. Furthermore, studies of natural behavior have generally treated the aortic root and the ascending aorta as 1 unit despite embryological, anatomical, and functional differences. This study aims to disentangle the natural histories of the aforementioned aortic segments, allowing natural behavior to define specific intervention criteria for root and ascending segments of the aorta. Methods and Results Diameters of the aortic root and mid-ascending segment were measured separately. Long-term complications (dissection, rupture, and death) were analyzed retrospectively for 1162 patients with ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm. Cox regression analysis suggested that aortic root dilatation (P=0.017) is more significant in predicting adverse events than mid-ascending aortic dilatation (P=0.087). Short stature posed as a serious risk factor. The dedicated risk curves for the aortic root and the mid-ascending aorta revealed hinge points at 5.0 and 5.25 cm, respectively. Conclusions The natural histories of the aortic root and mid-ascending aorta are uniquely different. Dilation of the aortic root imparts a significant higher risk of adverse events. A diameter shift for intervention to 5.0 cm for the aortic root and to 5.25 cm for the mid-ascending aorta should be considered at expert centers.


Aorta, Thoracic/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/diagnosis , Aortic Dissection/diagnosis , Echocardiography/methods , Aged , Dilatation, Pathologic/diagnosis , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Time Factors
10.
Am J Cardiol ; 150: 114-116, 2021 07 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34020772

We have noticed, in caring for thousands of patients with ascending aortic aneurysm (AscAA), that the "thumb palm test" is often positive (with the thumb crossing beyond the edge of the palm). It is not known how accurate this test may be. We conducted the thumb-palm test in 305 patients undergoing cardiac surgery with intra-operative transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) for a variety of disorders: ascending aneurysm in 59 (19.4%) and non-AscAA disease in 246 (80.6%) (including CABG, valve repair, and descending aortic aneurysm). The TEE provided a precise ascending aortic diameter. The thumb palm test gave us a discrete, binary positive or negative result. We calculated the accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) of the thumb palm test in determining presence or absence of AscAA (defined as ascending aortic diameter > 3.8cm). Maximal ascending aortic diameters ranged from 2.0 to 6.6 cm (mean 3.48). 93 patients (30.6%) were classified as having an AscAA and 212 (69.4%) as not having an AscAA. 10 patients (3.3%) had a positive thumb-palm test and 295 patients (96.7%) did not. Sensitivity of the test (proportion of diseased patients correctly classified) was low (7.5%), but specificity (proportion of non-diseased patients correctly classified) was very high (98.5%). This study supports the utility of the thumb-palm test in evaluation for ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm. That is to say, a positive test implies a substantial likelihood of harboring an ascending aortic aneurysm. A negative test does not exclude an aneurysm. In other words, the majority of aneurysm patients do not manifest a positive thumb-palm sign, but patients who do have a positive sign have a very high likelihood of harboring an ascending aneurysm. We suggest that the thumb-palm test be part of the standard physical examination, especially in patients with suspicion of ascending aortic aneurysm (e.g. those with a positive family history).


Aortic Aneurysm/diagnosis , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Diagnosis, Differential , Echocardiography, Transesophageal , Female , Hand , Humans , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Sensitivity and Specificity , Thumb
11.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 161(2): 498-511.e1, 2021 02.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31982126

OBJECTIVES: Elucidating critical aortic diameters at which natural complications (rupture, dissection, and death) occur is of paramount importance to guide timely surgical intervention. Natural history knowledge for descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms is sparse. Our small early studies recommended repairing descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms before a critical diameter of 7.0 cm. We focus exclusively on a large number of descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms followed over time, enabling a more detailed analysis with greater granularity across aortic sizes. METHODS: Aortic diameters and long-term complications of 907 patients with descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms were reviewed. Growth rates (instrumental variables approach), yearly complication rates, 5-year event-free survival (Kaplan-Meier), and risk of complications as a function of aortic height index (aortic diameter [centimeters]/height [meters]) (competing-risks regression) were calculated. RESULTS: Estimated mean growth rate of descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms was 0.19 cm/year, increasing with increasing aortic size. Median size at acute type B dissection was 4.1 cm. Some 80% of dissections occurred below 5 cm, whereas 93% of ruptures occurred above 5 cm. Descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm diameter 6 cm or greater was associated with a 19% yearly rate of rupture, dissection, or death. Five-year complication-free survival progressively decreased with increasing aortic height index. Hazard of complications showed a 6-fold increase at an aortic height index of 4.2 or greater compared with an aortic height index of 3.0 to 3.5 (P < .05). The probability of fatal complications (aortic rupture or death) increased sharply at 2 hinge points: 6.0 and 6.5 cm. CONCLUSIONS: Acute type B dissections occur frequently at small aortic sizes; thus, prophylactic size-based surgery may not afford a means for dissection protection. However, fatal complications increase dramatically at 6.0 cm, suggesting that preemptive intervention before that criterion can save lives.


Aorta, Thoracic/pathology , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/pathology , Aged , Aortic Dissection/etiology , Aortic Dissection/mortality , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/complications , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/etiology , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/mortality , Aortic Rupture/etiology , Aortic Rupture/mortality , Disease Progression , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Medical History Taking , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Survival Analysis
12.
Am J Cardiol ; 143: 145-153, 2021 03 15.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33352210

Aortic Z-score (Z-score) is utilized in clinical trials to monitor the effect of medications on aortic dilation rate in Marfan (MFS) patients. Z-scores are reported in relation to body surface area and therefore are a function of height and weight. However, an information void exists regarding natural, non-pharmacological changes in Z-scores as children age. We had concerns that Z-score decrease attributed to "therapeutic" effects of investigational drugs for Marfan disease connective tissue diseases might simply reflect normal changes ("filling out" of body contour) as children age. This investigation studies natural changes with age in Z-score in normal and untreated MFS children, teasing out normal effects that might erroneously be attributed to drug benefit. (1) We first compared body mass index (BMI) and Z-scores (Boston Children's Hospital calculator) in 361 children with "normal" single echo exams in four age ranges (0 to 1, 5 to 7, 10 to 12, 15 to 18 years). Regression analysis revealed that aging itself decreases ascending Z-score, but not root Z-score, and that increase in BMI with aging underlies the decreased Z-scores. (2) Next, we examined Z-score findings in both "normal" and Marfan children (all pharmacologically untreated) as determined on sequential echo exams over time. Of 27 children without aortic disease with sequential echos, 19 (70%) showed a natural decrease in root Z-score and 24 (89%) showed a natural decrease in ascending Z- score, over time. Of 25 untreated MFS children with sequential echos, 12 (40%) showed a natural decrease in root Z-score and 10 (33%) showed a natural decrease in ascending Z-score. Thus, Z-score is over time affected by natural factors even in the absence of any aneurysmal pathology or medical intervention. Specifically, Z-score decreases spontaneously as a natural phenomenon as children age and with fill out their BMI. Untreated Marfan patients often showed a spontaneous decrease in Z-score. In clinical drug trials in aneurysm disease, decreasing Z-score has been interpreted as a sign of beneficial drug effect. These data put such conclusions into doubt.


Aorta/growth & development , Aortic Aneurysm/diagnostic imaging , Marfan Syndrome/diagnostic imaging , Adolescent , Aorta/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Aneurysm/drug therapy , Aortic Aneurysm/etiology , Body Mass Index , Body Surface Area , Case-Control Studies , Child , Child, Preschool , Clinical Trials as Topic , Echocardiography , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Marfan Syndrome/complications , Marfan Syndrome/drug therapy , Outcome Assessment, Health Care
13.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 112(1): 45-52, 2021 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33075319

BACKGROUND: This study evaluates sex differences in the natural history of descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (DTTAAs). METHODS: In all, 907 patients with descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic sizes greater than 3 cm were retrospectively reviewed. Growth rate estimates were performed utilizing an instrumental variables approach. Yearly complication rates as a function of aortic size were computed. RESULTS: There were 615 men (67.8%) and 292 women (32.2%) treated between 1990 and 2018, with mean aortic diameters of 4.1 ± 1.4 cm and 4.8 ± 1.6 cm, respectively (P < .001). The mean growth rate of DTTAAs was 0.17 cm per year in men and 0.25 cm per year in women (P < .001), increasing with increasing aneurysm size. Dissection, rupture, or aortic death or the combination of the three occurred at double the rate for women compared with men (5.8% vs 2.3% per year for the combined endpoint). Diameter of DTTAA greater than 5 cm was associated with 26.3% (male) and 33.1% (female) average yearly rates of the composite endpoint of rupture, dissection, and death (P < .05). The probability of fatal complications (rupture and death) increased sharply at 5.75 cm in both sexes. Between 4.5 and 5.75 cm, there was another hinge-point of higher probability of fatal complications among women. CONCLUSIONS: Women diagnosed with DTTAA fare worse. Faster aneurysm growth and higher rates of dissection, rupture, and aortic death are apparent among women. Current guidelines recommend surgical intervention at 5.5 to 6 cm for DTTAAs without sex considerations. Our findings suggest that increased virulence of DTTAA in women may indicate surgery at a somewhat smaller diameter.


Aorta, Thoracic/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/epidemiology , Aortic Dissection/epidemiology , Aortic Rupture/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Aged , Aortic Dissection/diagnosis , Aortic Dissection/surgery , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/diagnosis , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/surgery , Aortic Rupture/diagnosis , Aortic Rupture/surgery , Aortography , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology
15.
J Vasc Surg ; 71(6): 2004-2011, 2020 06.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31708305

OBJECTIVE: The Kommerell diverticulum (KD) is an extremely rare developmental abnormality of the aorta related to an aberrant subclavian artery (ASCA). The objective of our study was to review the natural history of KD and ASCA using our single-center experience in diagnosing and managing KD and ASCA. METHODS: A retrospective review of the Yale radiological database from January 1999 to December 2016 was performed. Only patients with KD/ASCA and a computed tomography (CT) scan of the chest were selected for review. The primary goal was to examine the natural history of KD and ASCA and the secondary goals were to review the management and outcomes of those patients treated for KD and ASCA. RESULTS: There were 75 patients with KD/ASCA identified, with a mean age of 63 ± 19 years; 49 were female (65%). On CT scans, left- and right-sided aortas were present in 47 (63%) and 28 (37%) patients. A right ASCA or a left ASCA were present in 47 (63%) and 28 (37%) patients. Six patients were symptomatic on presentation. Symptoms included dysphagia, chest or back pain, and emboli to the fingers. The mean KD diameter was 21.8 ± 6.0 mm and the distance to the opposite aortic wall (DAW) was 48.3 ± 10.8 mm. Sixty-six patients were followed for a mean of 31.7 ± 32.5 months. One patient ruptured without repair. Nine patients underwent operative intervention, including eight open and one endovascular repair. Complications from operative intervention included ischemic stroke with hemorrhagic transformation, deep vein thrombosis and pneumonia. The mean growth rate for KD and DAW was 1.45 ± 0.39 mm/year and 2.29 ± 0.47 mm/year, respectively. On multivariable regression analysis, hypertension was a predictor of growth of DAW (P = .03). CONCLUSIONS: KD is uncommon and shows a female predominance. The diverticulum grows, albeit slowly (KD and DAW growth rates of 1.45 ± 0.39 mm/year and 2.29 ± 0.47 mm/year). Most patients are asymptomatic, but dysphagia, chest/back pain, and distal emboli may occur. Rupture is rare. Symptomatic patients should be operated. Asymptomatic patients can be followed with serial CT scans.


Aorta/surgery , Cardiovascular Abnormalities/surgery , Diverticulum/surgery , Subclavian Artery/abnormalities , Vascular Malformations/surgery , Vascular Surgical Procedures , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Aorta/abnormalities , Aorta/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Rupture/etiology , Aortography , Cardiovascular Abnormalities/complications , Cardiovascular Abnormalities/diagnostic imaging , Computed Tomography Angiography , Connecticut , Databases, Factual , Disease Progression , Diverticulum/congenital , Diverticulum/diagnostic imaging , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Sex Factors , Subclavian Artery/diagnostic imaging , Subclavian Artery/surgery , Tertiary Care Centers , Treatment Outcome , Vascular Malformations/complications , Vascular Malformations/diagnostic imaging , Vascular Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Young Adult
16.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 74(15): 1883-1894, 2019 10 15.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31526537

BACKGROUND: Little information is available regarding the longitudinal changes of the aneurysmal ascending aorta. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to outline the natural history of ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm (ATAA) based on ascending aortic length (AAL) and develop novel predictive tools to better aid risk stratification. METHODS: The ascending aortic diameters and lengths, and long-term aortic adverse events (AAEs) (rupture, dissection, and death) of 522 ATAA patients were evaluated using comprehensive statistical approaches. RESULTS: An AAL of ≥13 cm was associated with an almost 5-fold higher average yearly rate of AAEs compared with an AAL of <9 cm. Two AAL "hinge points" with a sharp increase in the estimated probability of AAEs were detected between 11.5 and 12.0 cm, and between 12.5 and 13.0 cm. The mean estimated annual aortic elongation rate was 0.18 cm/year, and aortic elongation was age dependent. Aortic diameter increased 18% due to dissection while AAL only increased by 2.7%. There was a noticeable improvement in the discrimination of the logistic regression model (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.810) due to the introduction of aortic height index (AHI) (diameter height index + length height index). The AHIs <9.33, 9.38 to 10.81, 10.86 to 12.50, and ≥12.57 cm/m were associated with a âˆ¼4%, ∼7%, ∼12%, and ∼18% average yearly risk of AAEs, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: An aortic elongation of 11 cm serves as a potential intervention criterion for ATAA, which is even more reliable than diameter due to its relative immunity to dissection. AHI (including both length and diameter) is more powerful than any single parameter in this study.


Aorta/physiopathology , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/physiopathology , Risk Assessment , Age Factors , Aged , Aortic Dissection , Area Under Curve , Female , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Probability , Regression Analysis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome
17.
J Comp Eff Res ; 8(11): 879-887, 2019 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31433207

Aim: To quantify the healthcare expenditures for valvular heart disease (VHD) in the USA. Patients & methods: Direct annual incremental healthcare expenditures were estimated using multiple logistic and linear regression models. Results were stratified by age cohorts (18-64 years, ≥65 and ≥75 years) and disease status: symptomatic aortic valve disease (AVD), asymptomatic AVD, symptomatic mitral valve disease (MVD) and asymptomatic MVD. Results: A total of 1463 VHD patients were identified. The overall aggregated incremental direct expenditures were $56.62 billion ($26.48 billion for patients ≥75 years). Individuals ≥75 years with symptomatic AVD had the largest incremental effect on annual, per-patient healthcare expenditure of $30,949. The annualized incremental costs of VHD were greatest for individuals ≥75 years with AVD. Conclusion: Identification of VHD at an earlier stage may reduce the economic burden.


Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Heart Valve Diseases/economics , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Costs and Cost Analysis , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
18.
Child Abuse Negl ; 93: 249-262, 2019 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31129427

BACKGROUND: Son preference is an enduring phenomenon in China and may often be related to childhood adverse experiences. According to a life-course perspective, adverse experiences during a childhood period may have a long-term effect on mental health in later age. However, little is known about this relationship between parents' son preference, childhood adverse experiences and adulthood mental health in China. OBJECTIVE: The study aims to evaluate the association of parents' son preference and individual mental health in old age in China. The mediating role of childhood adverse experiences was also estimated. PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2015 combined with CHARLS life history survey was analyzed (N = 11,666). METHODS: Mental health was measured by a shortened modification of the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale including seven items, and higher scores indicated worse mental health status. A four-step mediating model was applied. RESULTS: Respondents growing in families with son preference had on average 0.75 (P < 0.001) points higher on the mental health scale than their counterparts, and the effects were consistent for both males and females. Childhood adverse experiences measured by physical maltreatment, emotional adverse experiences and witnesses of inter-parent violence mediated the relationship between parents' son preference and individual adulthood mental health by 47.87%. For females, physical maltreatment and emotional adverse experiences explained the most parts of health effects of parents' son preference, whereas witnesses of inter-parent violence was the most influential mediator for males. CONCLUSION: Parents' son preference led to adverse childhood experiences, which influenced mental health in adulthood.


Adverse Childhood Experiences/statistics & numerical data , Child Abuse/statistics & numerical data , Mental Health , Parents/psychology , Sex , Aged , Child , China , Cultural Characteristics , Female , Health Surveys , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged
19.
Open Heart ; 6(1): e000862, 2019.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30774963

Objective: This study aimed to assess the prevalence of thoracic aortic disease (TAD) and abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) among patients with simple renal cyst (SRC) and bovine aortic arch (BAA). Methods: Through a retrospective search for patients who underwent both chest and abdominal CT imaging at our institution from 2012 to 2016, we identified patients with SRC and BAA and propensity score matched them to those without these features by age, gender and presence of hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Results: Of a total of 35 498 patients, 6366 were found to have SRC. Compared with the matched population without SRC, individuals with SRC were significantly more likely to have TAD (10.1% vs 3.9%), ascending aortic aneurysm (8.0% vs 3.2%), descending aortic aneurysm (3.3% vs 0.9%), type A aortic dissection (0.6% vs 0.2%), type B aortic dissection (1.1% vs 0.3%) and AAA (7.9% vs 3.3%). The 920 patients identified with BAA were significantly more likely to have TAD (21.8% vs 4.5%), ascending aortic aneurysm (18.4% vs 3.2%), descending aortic aneurysm (6.5% vs 2.0%), type A aortic dissection (1.4% vs 0.4%) and type B aortic dissection (2.4% vs 0.7%) than the matched population without BAA. SRC and BAA were found to be significantly associated with the presence of TAD (OR=2.57 and 7.69, respectively) and AAA (OR=2.81 and 2.56, respectively) on multivariable analysis. Conclusions: This study establishes a substantial increased prevalence of aortic disease among patients with SRC and BAA. SRC and BAA should be considered markers for aortic aneurysm development.

20.
J Med Econ ; 22(6): 577-583, 2019 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30775944

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a common, serious disease in the US and Europe. Patients with HF often require treatment for fluid overload, resulting in costly inpatient visits; however, limited evidence exists on the costs of alternative treatments. This study performed a cost-analysis of ultrafiltration (UF) vs diuretic therapy (DIUR-T) for patients with HF from the hospital perspective. Methods: The model used clinical data from the literature and hospital data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project to follow a decision-analytic framework reflecting treatment decisions, probabilistic outcomes, and associated costs for treating patients with HF and hypervolemia with veno-venous UF or intravenous DIUR-T. A 90-day timeframe was considered to account for hospital readmissions beyond 30 days. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed to gauge the robustness of the results. Results: Although initial hospitalization costs were higher, fluid removal by UF reduced hospital readmission days, leading to cost savings of $3,975 (14.4%) at the 90-day follow-up (UF costs, $23,633; DIUR-T costs, $27,608). Conclusions: UF is a viable alternative to DIUR-T when treating fluid overload in HF patients because it reduces hospital readmission rates and durations, which substantially lowers costs over a 90-day period compared to DIUR-T.


Diuretics/therapeutic use , Heart Failure/therapy , Hospital Costs/statistics & numerical data , Models, Econometric , Ultrafiltration/methods , Computer Simulation , Decision Support Techniques , Diuretics/administration & dosage , Diuretics/adverse effects , Diuretics/economics , Humans , Injections, Intravenous , Length of Stay/economics , Models, Statistical , Monte Carlo Method , Patient Readmission/economics , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Ultrafiltration/adverse effects , Ultrafiltration/economics
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